Bond Economics

Uncertainty got the upper hand this weak. President Trump removed one certainty from the outlook — the U.S. economy would be wrecked by his ...

Note: this unedited article may be used within a new chapter in my inflation primer. The topic of tariffs became of extreme importance in 20...

Recent comments by Donald Trump seemed to confirm what he implied in his earlier remarks: the “90 trade deals in 90 days” he promised genera...

I have a primer in the pipeline, but I just want to comment on President’s Trump's statements/posts that hit yesterday. The problem with...

Although the advance estimate of U.S. real GDP shrank by 0.3% in the first quarter ( link ), I am unsure whether that contraction will stand...

Since I am allegedly writing about the intersection of the bond market and economics, I need to periodically check in with what is happening...

There are two potential definitions of “reserve currency.” The first is quantitative and weak: do other countries hold official foreign exch...