Bond Economics

After 2008, there was a small community who always predicted repeats of The Financial Crisis. The problem the doom-mongers faced was the ba...

Canadian CPI data came out today, and the general trend is that it is bouncing around “normal levels” for an expansion. Although higher than...

The customs duties data for the United States was recently updated, and we can assess the “success” of Trump 2.0’s tariff policies so far. O...

I have been looking at term premium models as part of a non-writing project. I decided to take a look at the Kim & Wright model output (...

Toby Nangle recently wrote “How to (more) properly compare bond yields across markets” ( non-gift link ). The story behind the article is st...

A weak August PPI report today continues the narrative that inflation in the United States is a nothingburger. If I were attempting to be a ...

Adrien Auclert, Hannes Malmberg, Matthew Rognlie, and Ludwig Straub presented the paper “The Race Between Asset Supply and Demand” at the Ja...